Saturday, October 22, 2016

Current polling methods are "bunk says Professor

A professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island continues to project Donald Trump as the likely winner of this year's election and he's critiquing polls that predict the opposite in a new opinion piece.

Helmut Norpoth has been predicting a Trump victory since early this year. His model currently projects a win for the Republican with a certainty of 87 to 99 percent.

That flies in the face of just about every other major election forecast out there, which mostly give an edge to Democrat Hillary Clinton.


Saturday, October 22 - Real clear Politics
Race/Topic Poll Results Spread

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 40, Trump 42, Johnson 7, Stein 4 Trump +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 42, Trump 42 Tie
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 44, Trump 44 Tie

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