Trump has a 25% chance to win Nobel Peace Prize this year

Trump Leads Early Odds for Nobel Peace Prize After ‘Snub’

Bookmakers Say 2026 Could Be His Year

President Donald Trump is already the man to beat for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize — at least according to one major European bookmaker.

U.K.-based William Hill has installed Trump as the early favorite, giving him 3/1 odds to take home the prestigious award — despite the fact that the secretive Nobel Committee hasn’t even confirmed its list of nominees yet.

The betting giant says Trump was “overlooked” in 2025 — when the prize instead went to Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado — but believes this year could be different.

“Trump is the leading contender,” said spokesperson Lee Phelps, putting his chances at roughly 25%.

Many supporters argued Trump deserved recognition for his foreign policy moves during his second term — including efforts to broker peace in global conflicts.

Adding fuel to that argument: Machado herself later honored Trump in a highly symbolic gesture, presenting him with her Nobel medal at the White House as a sign of gratitude for his role in Venezuela’s political shift.

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