Hurricane Forecast for 2026

'What a Surprise' HURRICANE FORECAST: Maybe Not So Bad This Year

South Florida residents may get a bit of a break this hurricane season. Colorado State University’s renowned tropical weather research team released its initial 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast Thursday, calling for somewhat below-normal activity.

The CSU team is predicting 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and just 2 major hurricanes — all below the 1991-2020 historical averages of 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, and 3.2 major hurricanes.

The key driver behind the quieter outlook is El Niño. Current weak La Niña conditions are expected to transition to a moderate or even strong El Niño by the peak of hurricane season, which would increase wind shear over the Atlantic and make it harder for storms to develop and intensify. CSU researchers also note that sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic are running slightly cooler than normal — another factor working against storm formation.

CSU says there is a below-average probability of major hurricane landfalls along the U.S. coastline and in the Caribbean. But forecasters are quick to add the caveat that never gets old — it only takes one storm making landfall to make any season feel very active. Additional forecast updates are scheduled for June 10, July 8, and August 5.

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Lake Worth Beach Lineman sent to South Carolina

Lake Worth Beach linemen head to South Carolina ahead of winter storm

Crews from Lake Worth Beach Electric Utilities will arrived in South Carolina to assist with anticipated power outages from a winter storm expected this weekend.

The City of Lake Worth Beach is sending two crews of linemen and equipment to help restore electric service.

Funds are available for FEMA

FEMA DOES have the funds in spite of Mayorkas

A Department of Homeland Security inspector general’s report from August reveals more than $7 billion remain in emergency funding that could be used for natural disasters — even though DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas said last week none was available after Hurricane Helene.

Mayorkas, 64, told reporters following the devastation of Helene in North Carolina, Tennessee, South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama and Florida that the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) “does not have the funds” to endure more hurricanes this fall.

“We are expecting another hurricane hitting,” the DHS chief said Oct. 2, days before Hurricane Milton began picking up speed in the Gulf of Mexico. “We do not have the funds. FEMA does not have the funds to make it through the season and what is imminent.”

But DHS Inspector General Joseph Cuffari found in his Aug. 14 report that as of October 2022, FEMA had $8.3 billion in un-liquidated funds meant to relieve declared disasters from 2012 or earlier.

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Hail in Lake Worth Beach

This is a video of the hail we got yesterday...I thought at first someone was throwing stones at the buiilding. The hail was good size chunks of ice.

The Season in Florida where we all worry about Insurance Premiums

Florida property owners, insurers and lawmakers wait helplessly for Mother Nature’s next move

Every year, when formulating my budget for the next year, property insurance is my biggest worry and guess. Our budget is done in October for the next year but we don't know what our premiums will be until four months later. It is a guessing game and stressful. I say stressful...you have to work for a Condominium Association to understand what I mean. Owners don't want to pay any assessment much less exorbitant insurance premiums and who can blame them?

For the next 90 days or so, Florida property owners are little more than sitting ducks, helpless to the whims of a merciless Mother Nature and the storms she’s capable of spooling up. And there’s nothing Governor Ron DeSantis or anyone else can do to fix the state’s property insurance crisis in time to make a difference.

At this point, the ultimate factor that could bring property insurance relief to Florida is completely out of human hands. A major storm—or worse, multiple storms—hitting Florida in 2023 would not only cause untold property damage but could also trigger a cascading series of financial consequences with the potential to thrash Florida’s otherwise healthy economy.

On the flip side, if the state dodges the proverbial bullet this year, (and it looks like now that we won't with Idalia) experts say it will provide much-needed breathing room for everyone, and provide another shot at even more comprehensive reforms next year, particularly in the reinsurance market, which could stabilize premiums and even entice more insurance carriers to enter (or re-enter) the Florida market.

But don’t hold your breath. Florida residents – elected officials included – are now in a game of chance governed by atmospheric pressure and ocean temperatures – and the dice are loaded in favor of Mother Nature. What she decides to do in the coming months will set the course for Florida’s future – for better or worse – for years to come.

Florida’s total real estate value is now estimated at $3.62 trillion, with a “T,” enough to rank second in the nation, ahead of both New York and Texas.

We lucked out in Lake Worth Beach over the last few years and hopefully we will again.
Read about it...

The "real" View

Wind Projection for Eta

ISAIAS--Message from the City of Lake Worth (Beach)

We continue to monitor the storm with an estimated arrival time around 8pm this evening. Before the storm arrives you should have completed your preparations as it is dangerous to attempt to put up shutters or collect garden furniture once the high winds begin.

Please continue to watch for updates and follow the advice of the Governor and other officials.

City staff have been working hard to prepare the City in case the storm is to hit Lake Worth Beach. You can expect multiple information releases to come from the City before, during, and after the storm.

We are all in this together! We are Lake Worth

Isaias at 11am this morning

Click to enlarge--

2020 Hurricane Season

So, in 20 days, Hurricane Season starts.

CNN's Fake News Anti-Trump Agenda

CNN is so obsessed with going after President Trump, clinging to every little thing, that they mislabeled the State of Alabama calling it Mississippi.

It’s ok to laugh at their mistake. Unlike the President, it’s their job to report on the weather and for them to get this wrong far outweighs the President using a previously analyzed map.

Flooding across from Bryant Park

Dorian Flash Flooding Risk

Not much chance of this happening in Lake Worth--

Dorian -- it just won't move

It looks like we will have to wait a little bit more to find out whether it moves north of us. According to an alert I just got, Dorian is 115 miles due east of Lake Worth.
At 5am this morning--

Dorian at 5pm

Lake Worth's Hurricane Information Web Site

The City of Lake Worth (Beach) has launched a new web site devoted to the Hurricane--

Click here for "Hurricane Resource."

The Real Storm Track

This was just sent to me by a follower of this blog--It looks better for us!

Dorian...

This was recorded at 4pm today. Sick of it!

Hurricane Wilma - A Memory

October 22–25, 2005
Sue and Me after the Hurricane. We were without electricity for 12.5 days. Cold showers got to be the norm of the day.

This was a CAT 3 storm with winds of 120 mph and Gusts: 150 mph

Dorian on its way here

And now it looks as if it's heading right towards us! Winds to arrive by 8am Sunday.

5am today: