James Carville Finally Admitted He Has No Idea What He Is Talking About
Carville Predicted Kamala Harris Would Win and Called It CertainIn 2009, Carville published a book promising Democrats would dominate American politics for 40 More Years: How the Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation. Republicans held the House four elections later. Donald Trump won the White House twice. The book is now a punchline.
Then came October 2024 – just weeks before Election Day – when Carville penned an op-ed in The New York Times titled "Three Reasons I'm Certain Kamala Harris Will Win." His certainty lasted until Election Night. Harris lost by millions of votes, and Trump carried every swing state.
Carville later called the op-ed the "worst answer ever given" in politics. When Carville appeared on Stephen A. Smith's Politics War Room podcast shortly after, Smith told him directly that he admired him – but that he seemed "crazy half the time."
That's the most accurate political analysis Carville has been associated with in years.
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