Wednesday, October 30, 2024

Race too close for my comfort

Trump poised for Electoral College win as polls show ex-president leading Harris in 4 battleground states

New polling of battleground states forecasts wins for Donald Trump across the board in a quartet of them, positioning him for 280 electoral votes and a return to the White House.

The surveys from Insider Advantage and the Trafalgar Group spotlighted contests between Trump and Harris in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, and Georgia.

In the Keystone State, where 19 electoral votes are up for grabs, the Insider Advantage survey shows Trump up 48% to 47% among 800 likely voters over the Democratic nominee, with 3% undecided and 2% saying they will support another candidate.

The average poll in the state shows Trump up by half a percentage point, so this aligns with the narrow lead the GOP nominee has currently and with historical performance; the former president won it in 2016 by 0.73% and lost it 4 years later by 1.17%.

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