Didn't see the part in the article where Gallup stated that Obama's chances of losing were greater than his chances of winning. But I did see this:
Regardless, a May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll found that Americans believe Obama will be re-elected by a margin of 56 percent to 36 percent.
“It is unclear why Americans are more inclined to predict an Obama than a Romney victory when the two are essentially tied in Gallup’s latest election polling,” Gallup wrote.
“It may be that Americans recognize the advantages Obama has as the incumbent and that historically, presidents seeking re-election usually win. For example, in March 2004, when President George W. Bush and John Kerry were about tied in voter preferences, more said Bush (52 percent) than Kerry (42 percent) would win. Or, Americans may expect in the months between now and the election that conditions in the U.S. will improve, which would make the incumbent's re-election more certain.”
Didn't see the part in the article where Gallup stated that Obama's chances of losing were greater than his chances of winning. But I did see this:
ReplyDeleteRegardless, a May 10-13 USA Today/Gallup poll found that Americans believe Obama will be re-elected by a margin of 56 percent to 36 percent.
“It is unclear why Americans are more inclined to predict an Obama than a Romney victory when the two are essentially tied in Gallup’s latest election polling,” Gallup wrote.
“It may be that Americans recognize the advantages Obama has as the incumbent and that historically, presidents seeking re-election usually win. For example, in March 2004, when President George W. Bush and John Kerry were about tied in voter preferences, more said Bush (52 percent) than Kerry (42 percent) would win. Or, Americans may expect in the months between now and the election that conditions in the U.S. will improve, which would make the incumbent's re-election more certain.”